August 1, 2025 Supply growth weighs on home prices
Thanks to gains mostly occurring in the newer communities, inventory levels in July were 6,917 units, reaching levels not seen since prior to the pandemic and higher than long-term trends. While supply has improved across all property types and all districts, the largest gains are occurring in the areas where there has been new community growth.
The additional supply has weighed on home prices in some parts of the city. The total residential benchmark price in Calgary has trended down over the past several months and is currently four per cent below last year’s peak price reported in June 2024.
“Price declines are not occurring across all property types in all locations of the city, and even where there have been declines, it has not erased all the gains made over the past several years,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “The steepest price declines have occurred for apartment and row style homes, mostly in the North East and North districts, which coincides with significant gains in new supply.”
The rise in supply occurred as sales continued to slow and new listings improved. In July, there were 2,099 sales, a 12 per cent decline over last year, while new listings reached 3,911 units, an over eight per cent increase over last year. In addition to the persistent economic uncertainty due to tariffs, sales and new listings were impacted by no further reductions in lending rates and added competition from the new home market. Apartment-style homes are reporting the highest months of supply with over four months, while both detached and semi-detached homes are seeing conditions remain relatively balanced at just three months of supply.
REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie
Due to declines in both row and apartment sales, July sales slowed by 14 per cent compared to last July, contributing to the year-to-date decline of 12 per cent. While sales have slowed, activity remains higher than levels reported prior to 2021. What has changed is the significant improvement in new listings, resulting in inventory gains. As of July, inventory levels rose to 543 units, the highest July reported since the peak in 2018. The higher inventory levels kept the months of supply above three months in July, placing some downward pressure on home prices. In July, the benchmark price was $532,800, nearly four per cent lower than levels reported last year at this time. However, last year’s gains were exceptionally high earlier in the year, and on a year-to-date basis prices are only slightly lower than last year.
Cochrane
Unlike other areas, Cochrane has not seen the same level of pullback in sales compared to long-term trends. While July sales were down by seven per cent, year-to-date sales are two per cent lower than last year and 23 per cent higher than long-term trends. New listings in July did reach a record high for the month, causing inventories to push to the highest level reported for the month since 2019 and causing the months of supply to rise above three months. While this likely contributed to some of the monthly decline in price, unlike other areas the July benchmark price of $590,000 was over two per cent higher than last year, and four per cent higher on a year-to-date basis.
Okotoks
This market continues to exhibit tighter market conditions than both Airdrie and Cochrane with a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 71 per cent and months of supply at just over two months. This is a significant improvement compared to the previous four years, where the months of supply in July was just over one month. In July, the benchmark price in the area was $628,500, slightly lower than last month, but higher than last year’s level. Despite some monthly fluctuations, year-to-date prices are over two per cent higher than last year.
To view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package, click below:
https://www.creb.com/Housing_Statistics/documents/07_2025_Calgary_Monthly_Stats_Package.pdf
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